whitestreak
SC Supporter
- Dec 8, 2006
- 833
- 3,417
To quote the old Maxim there are "Lies, damn Lies, and Statistics"....
However now we are half way through the season I wanted to look back and see How we got on in the first 9 games Vs the Last up to and including today's game (Chel53a) and then compare where we would need to be after the the next 9 on 11th March 15 to remain consistent with previous seasons. Where after 29 games we were on 53/54 points with amazing regularity over the last 5 or so years.
The next 9 have some pretty hard fixtures on paper...including Goons at home, Manu and 'Pool away.
But you could argue that we have only City Left to play at home out of last years top clubs in the final 9!
The first 9 games of this season we averaged 1.22 points and were in 12th place(ppg) or thereabouts with 11 points. You could say Poch was getting his feet under the table, and did not know his best team...You may well be right.
The last 9 games it appears he is sorting that out as we have picked up 20 points at an average rate of 2.22 points per game During that time we have already played chelsea 2x and Manu once.
Our away form during this last period is only slightly better than our home form. And on a PPG basis we have the second best away form in the league.
So the point of this post is that should we really be able to kick on from todays result and just sustain what we have done for the last 9 games ie 20 points, then we will again be on 54 points but with a much easier on paper run in for the last 9 games.
This in turn will determine our ability to get close to 74 points and close to or into the top 4.
Coincidentally we have 54 points left to play for (18x3). In order get to 74 points we need another 40.
Or 2.2 ppg.
Realistically it means we would need to do something like win 12 and draw 4 losing 2. Not at all likely ......but after today....
hey anything is possible.
Mind you it is probably easier to win the EL!
oops mods had caps lock on in title apologies can some one fix!
However now we are half way through the season I wanted to look back and see How we got on in the first 9 games Vs the Last up to and including today's game (Chel53a) and then compare where we would need to be after the the next 9 on 11th March 15 to remain consistent with previous seasons. Where after 29 games we were on 53/54 points with amazing regularity over the last 5 or so years.
The next 9 have some pretty hard fixtures on paper...including Goons at home, Manu and 'Pool away.
But you could argue that we have only City Left to play at home out of last years top clubs in the final 9!
The first 9 games of this season we averaged 1.22 points and were in 12th place(ppg) or thereabouts with 11 points. You could say Poch was getting his feet under the table, and did not know his best team...You may well be right.
The last 9 games it appears he is sorting that out as we have picked up 20 points at an average rate of 2.22 points per game During that time we have already played chelsea 2x and Manu once.
Our away form during this last period is only slightly better than our home form. And on a PPG basis we have the second best away form in the league.
So the point of this post is that should we really be able to kick on from todays result and just sustain what we have done for the last 9 games ie 20 points, then we will again be on 54 points but with a much easier on paper run in for the last 9 games.
This in turn will determine our ability to get close to 74 points and close to or into the top 4.
Coincidentally we have 54 points left to play for (18x3). In order get to 74 points we need another 40.
Or 2.2 ppg.
Realistically it means we would need to do something like win 12 and draw 4 losing 2. Not at all likely ......but after today....
hey anything is possible.
Mind you it is probably easier to win the EL!
oops mods had caps lock on in title apologies can some one fix!
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