I'm holding on to the fact that the closer we get to the end of the season, the more chance Chelsea and Arsenal are likely to "prioritise" the Europa League and hopefully take one eye off the Premier League. Obviously I'm hopeful we'll still be in the Champions League, but I think our main concern will always be finishing top 4. Arsenal and Chelsea will perhaps deem winning the EL to be an easier route to CL football next season.
It's intriguing, and there are 1000 permutations. I hope it doesn't go down to the final game, that will be nauseating.
4th will not be good enough imo. Has to be a push to stay 3rd also relying on the likes of Liverpool 'doing us a favour' like yesterday!