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The financial cost of relegation

Alfieconnman

Ticket seller for the Dome of Doom
Aug 9, 2008
1,142
151
http://www.spurs.vitalfootball.co.uk/article.asp?a=512670

There has been a great deal of talk about how we would manage if we got relegated and even though WHL will remain positive the numbers have been crunched by City Analysts and interested financial institutions - the figures are not good which is the main reason why the share price continues its path southwards (yesterday it lost almost 8% and now stands at 81.5p which values the fully diluted share capital at £149.8 million from a high after the Carling Cup win of £333.7 million).

Before we look at the figures based on our being in the Championship it should be remembered where we are at the moment so here are the official figures for our revenue streams for the year ending 30/6/2008:

Gate receipts - Premier League: £18.274 million
Gate receipts - Cup Competitions: £10.341 million.
Sponsorship & Corporate hospitality: £27.778 million.
Media & Broadcasting: £40.329 million.
Merchandising: £9.723 million.
Other (inc foreign exchange profit): £8.343 million.
TOTAL: £114.788 million


http://www.tottenhamhotspur.com/uploads/assets/docstore/2008_annual_report.pdf

Apart from ALL of our revenue streams (with the exception of foreign exchange profit) being totally based on success, can everybody see what is NOT a revenue stream? Player trading is NOT a revenue stream so anybody that thinks that we are a selling club and we get rid of our first team squad players for profit alone are 100% wrong.

In order to get a clear comparison please remember that there are 24 teams in the Championship and therefore 23 league matches. For the Cup matches I have been generous and calculated 5 home matches for FA Cup and Carling Cup combined.

Currently we average £961,789 gate receipts for the League and due to lower ticket prices in the Championship and lower gates overall due to both being relegated and the overall financial situation Analysts are calculating a 40% reduction in receipts for every home match thus making an average of £577,073.

The same reduction has been used for sponsorship and corporate hospitality.

Media and broadcasting will give us a £11 million parachute payment which is given for 2 seasons - after that the figure will be around £6 million.

As we have a fairly strong fan base I have reduced merchandising by 20%.

With all those points in mind, here are the following figures for our playing in the Championship:

Gate receipts - Premier League: £13.272 million
Gate receipts - Cup Competitions: £2.885 million.
Sponsorship & Corporate hospitality: £16.666 million.
Media & Broadcasting:
£11 million.
Merchandising: £9.723 million.
Other (inc foreign exchange profit): £7.778 million.
TOTAL: £59.946 million


As our operating expenses (excluding football trading) were £87.327 million we stand to make a healthy LOSS - we could swallow it for one year but certainly not for any longer.

Finally, it should be remembered that ENIC will ONLY make their profit when the team is successful ON the pitch - they have already seen £184 million wiped off of the value of the fully diluted share capital since we were at Wembley - that loss of value is mainly due to the lack of ON the pitch success.
 

milkman

Banned
Oct 3, 2005
12,150
3
Some nice calculations there, but we must remember that if we get relegated I'm sure the club will make a fair amount of effort to cut down on costs, so the margin between cost and revenue will not be as big as you predict.

However I do feel that we will be bought over in the next season or 2 seasons, so that will inject loads of cash with us, so our owners will not worry about any losses but will ofcourse try and cut costs.
 

PT

North Stand behind Pat's goal.
Admin
May 21, 2004
25,468
2,408
WE HAVE NO PLAYER ASSETS THAT WILL COME CLOSE TO MAKING A DENT ON THE DEFICIT SHOULD WE DO A wEST hAM AND WHOLESALE OUR PLAYING SQUAD ON RELEGATION.

Edit - sorry about caps...:oops:
 

DC_Boy

New Member
May 20, 2005
17,608
5
It's true that in the short term we'll make an operating loss if we get relegated, however our players sold will fetch enough cash to stem any immediate crisis

though of course the sale value will be far lower than current values

basically we'll be in massive trouble

the good news might be that we get bought and there's a new and better approach from both management and fans

but I've no real optimism re either

it'll end our new stadium for at least a decade too I reckon (ie 2020 the earliest realistic date)
 

milkman

Banned
Oct 3, 2005
12,150
3
Also, if we play like we currently are at the moment (like against Wigan), then we aren't definitely going to get promoted straight away, which would be a massive problem..

But lets just make sure that we don't get relegated in the first place!

Yid ARMY!
 

DC_Boy

New Member
May 20, 2005
17,608
5
Also, if we play like we currently are at the moment (like against Wigan), then we aren't definitely going to get promoted straight away, which would be a massive problem..

oh there's no certainty that we won't spend a decade or more in the championship

we have no divine right to the Prem, which is why it makes me laugh/cry that many fans didn't realise we've just had three good seasons in a row

and that certain players who helped bring us one or more of those seasons have been regularly pillioried and insulted
 

wooderz

James and SC Striker
May 18, 2006
8,766
4,507
Ahh DC, it isn't just us that are mocking this "certain player" now though is it...he sits on the bench!? :shrug:
 
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