RuskyM
Well-Known Member
- Jul 9, 2011
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You could argue however that we were a bit fortunate to beat Sheffield United, Liverpool, Everton and Brighton at home. Easy to rue the missed chances but we've had our fair share of successes.
2023/24 - The Race For..................
- Thread starter Archibald&Crooks
- Start date
I agree with most of this, but I think possibly you are underestimating how difficult it is for even a top six team to make up an eleven point gap to a team above them with so few games left.
In 21/22 we infamously beat Arsenal to fourth, but look back and by this stage of the season we were already level with them. I think the biggest the gap ever got was about 5 points when they had played 19 and us 17. But it still felt like we had to be super consistent to make that gap up.
SUIYHA
Well-Known Member
- Jan 15, 2017
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Wolves is the one for me. How we threw that away after we'd scored and had the momentum to lose at home was ridiculous - you'd have thought we'd have a point to prove against them after letting in two goals in the last minute in the away game.
I expected us to be inconsistent this season but it's been so infuriating how shit we've been at times when we've also been so brilliant to watch in certain spells...
SUIYHA
Well-Known Member
- Jan 15, 2017
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True, although if the opposite were the case we would be be talking about what a favourable final two matches Villa have, while we have to play Liverpool second to last.
rossdapep
Well-Known Member
- Aug 25, 2011
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Last 16/17 games - since we had that appalling run due to injuries/suspensions.
Our form
Played = 16
Won = 10
Draw = 3
Lost = 3
Pts = 33
Villa's form
Played = 17
Won = 7
Draw = 4
Lost = 6
Pts = 25
It's not like Villa have just dropped points in tough fixtures either, they lost to Man Utd twice and Newcastle (h).
Drew with West Ham, Brentford (h), Sheff Utd.
Our form
Played = 16
Won = 10
Draw = 3
Lost = 3
Pts = 33
Villa's form
Played = 17
Won = 7
Draw = 4
Lost = 6
Pts = 25
It's not like Villa have just dropped points in tough fixtures either, they lost to Man Utd twice and Newcastle (h).
Drew with West Ham, Brentford (h), Sheff Utd.
Mr Pink
SC Supporter
- Aug 25, 2010
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Absolutely.
But to be honest, we deserved to beat SU and Brighton.
Liverpool we still may of won regardless.
Everton we definitely got away with.
Isn’t it more likely that it will be easier to play the relegated teams.
Their players will be emotionally drained and thinking about their next move or summer holidays.
Saoirse
Well-Known Member
- Aug 20, 2013
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I'm pretty sure statistically speaking, there's no change overall in the form of teams once relegation is confirmed. They continue to be equally as bad as they always were. Potentially this is different factors offsetting each other e.g. pressure lifted vs lack of motivation.
fishhhandaricecake
Well-Known Member
- Nov 15, 2018
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I travelled up to that
horribly long journey back home
rossdapep
Well-Known Member
- Aug 25, 2011
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Yeah it's a good point.
There have been a lot of games where we didn't play brilliantly but you could easily say we still deserved to win.
Which really bodes well for the future.
If we had been getting away with it week after week (like United) you'd worry cause you know its just papering over the cracks
BorjeSpurs
Well-Known Member
- Jun 29, 2007
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Marty
Audere est farce
- Mar 10, 2005
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The City game will 99,9% sure be set to between those two final games.
Yeah that’s what I meant. It should be easier to play against them. Firstly, they’re bottom of the league for a reason and secondly for the reasons you have stated. There are arguments about them playing with no pressure etc and there are exceptions like when we were thrashed by Newcastle but I still think all things considered two relegated teams as the two final matches of the season is about as good as you could ask for.
Blake Griffin
Well-Known Member
- Oct 3, 2011
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hopefully we have 4th in the bag by then .. hint hint.
Steffen
Well-Known Member
- Aug 31, 2012
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Form like that over 38 games would give us 87 points.
Kingellesar
This is the way
- May 2, 2005
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We have to take something from the Newcastle game, ideally a win. Villa will play twice before we kick off in the NLD.
Realistically I can see them being on 35 games played with 66 points, that would put us on 32 games hopefully 63 points going into the NLD, we need to keep within one result to keep the pressure on, knowing we have games in hand. Tough games but still, at least its in our control and not relying on others.
Realistically I can see them being on 35 games played with 66 points, that would put us on 32 games hopefully 63 points going into the NLD, we need to keep within one result to keep the pressure on, knowing we have games in hand. Tough games but still, at least its in our control and not relying on others.
Westmorlandspur
Well-Known Member
- Feb 1, 2013
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W 3. D. 2. L.. 2
11 pts gives us 71pts. That should be enough. We have 4 very winnable games plus the top 3
Villa would need 12pts from 6.
11 pts gives us 71pts. That should be enough. We have 4 very winnable games plus the top 3
Villa would need 12pts from 6.
RuskyM
Well-Known Member
- Jul 9, 2011
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It's disgraceful you're suggesting we should take it easy. I'm a fan of this team and I still have some pride, and I won't accept anything less than 70% or so against City and Liverpool.
Well, 60%, nobody's perfect.
