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Manager Watch: Ange Postecoglou

tevezito

In the cup for Tottingham
Jun 8, 2004
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Y axis is the xG from shots against (quality of chance) and X axis is the amount of chances.

Basically, comparatively to the rest of the league, we dont give up a lot of chances, but we do give up really good chances.
Has anyone got an adjusted graph that takes away the brainfarts? The eye test says we'd be right down there with the Arse?
 

Schoon-related

Well-Known Member
Oct 31, 2021
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It means that we don't concede a crazy amount of chances, but the ones we do concede are very dangerous.

This makes sense due to our style of high possession and high defensive line. For most of the game we keep the opposition trapped in their own half, but the few times they break out of it will inevitably be super dangerous.

Ideally a team would want to be as far in to the bottom left of the graph as possible, but I feel that this is impossible with Ange's tactics.

The ideal realistic scenario that Ange will be hoping to achieve over time is that our graph point will move a lot further to the left. This would mean that the chances we concede are still very dangerous but due to our improving ability to retain the ball and maintain the high press we concede far fewer of those chances i.e. like Man City

Sidenote: The graph also sadly shows that Arsenal are absolutely incredible defensively, best in the league by a mile.
Which is what I thought first looking at this graph. But bottom left is not (0, 0) so it makes the differences appear to be much greater than they actually are.
 

Styopa

Well-Known Member
Jan 19, 2014
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Arsenal’s graph is impressive, although not that surprising given they have the best defensive record in the league this season.

I wonder does the graph take into account penalties? I’m not sure what difference it would make to the averages, but we have conceded 6 penalties, the joint highest in the league, compared to Arsenal’s 2.

If the xg of penalties is .76 that’s 4.56 expected goals conceded through penalties by us compared to Arsenal’s 1.52.
 

Styopa

Well-Known Member
Jan 19, 2014
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Yes, but where were they three years ago?

We're going to move left as we get better players.

Yeah there’s been lots of comparisons to Arsenal, which is fair if we are using that as a benchmark of what is possible given four or five years of work and investment.

As you say, we would have to look at where they were a few years ago if we want to use them as a yardstick.
 

fishhhandaricecake

Well-Known Member
Nov 15, 2018
19,254
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Dumb this down for me please
We give up more shots and bigger chances in combination to opposition teams than Arsenal, City, Villa, Brighton and Liverpool. The rest of the league give up more shots per game than us but not such big quality of chances per shot.

We give up the 2nd highest quality of chances to teams, 2nd to only Villa (likely due to our high lines), City are not far off both of us on this stat.

Arsenals defence is by far the best this season in terms of both fewest amount of shots and quality of shots given to opponents on average per game.

Super simplified: our high line and style of play leaves us more exposed defensively than most teams in the top 8, however we do tend to limit the amount of shots the opponents have by dominating a lot of the ball.
 

fishhhandaricecake

Well-Known Member
Nov 15, 2018
19,254
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Yeah there’s been lots of comparisons to Arsenal, which is fair if we are using that as a benchmark of what is possible given four or five years of work and investment.

As you say, we would have to look at where they were a few years ago if we want to use them as a yardstick.
Yep as we get better players and give Ange more time I’d expect us to move down and to the left a bit more, certainly left a bit more but we will always be quite high on that graph like City and Villa because of our style of play.
 

ohtottenham!

Well-Known Member
Aug 15, 2013
7,504
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We give up more shots and bigger chances in combination to opposition teams than Arsenal, City, Villa, Brighton and Liverpool. The rest of the league give up more shots per game than us but not such big quality of chances per shot.

We give up the 2nd highest quality of chances to teams, 2nd to only Villa (likely due to our high lines), City are not far off both of us on this stat.

Arsenals defence is by far the best this season in terms of both fewest amount of shots and quality of shots given to opponents on average per game.

Super simplified: our high line and style of play leaves us more exposed defensively than most teams in the top 8, however we do tend to limit the amount of shots the opponents have by dominating a lot of the ball.
Arsenal have also been very good at not giving up set-piece opportunities in vulnerable positions.
 
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ralvy

AVB my love
Jun 26, 2012
2,511
4,629
Ange might be the best coach in the league right now, the amount of games he's able to tilt in our favor midway by moving a few pieces here and there, midway a match, is unreal. And next season he might not even need to do that all that often, since he likely will become better at planing games in advance according to the opposition with the experience he's gaining this season.

Ange might be Daniel Levy's biggest win after the stadium, and hopefully his impact will end up being as monumental as our new stadium.
 
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fishhhandaricecake

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Nov 15, 2018
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I know his squad with Palace is inferior to ours and he’s only 2 games into the job but the Defensive and underwhelming Palace performance and style of play which MOTD compared to Hogson ironically is exactly why I was so so against us getting Glasner.

So so glad we got Ange and we play the lovely style of football that we do.

Great win and comeback today and good team selection and subs imo.
 

SUIYHA

Well-Known Member
Jan 15, 2017
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Am loving the fact that we never appear to be beaten until the final whistle is blown. Tottenham teams of the past have been known for dropping their heads when we go behind and struggling to find a way back into games, how many points this year is it from losing positions now?

The flipside of this argument is - why do we keep making things so hard for ourselves and needing impact subs to come from behind every time? I know it's hard to dominate an entire game for 90 minutes but it's not unreasonable to ask us to be on top in both halves, especially against weaker sides at home, is it not?
 

easley91

Well-Known Member
Jan 27, 2011
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I know his squad with Palace is inferior to ours and he’s only 2 games into the job but the Defensive and underwhelming Palace performance and style of play which MOTD compared to Hogson ironically is exactly why I was so so against us getting Glasner.

So so glad we got Ange and we play the lovely style of football that we do.

Great win and comeback today and good team selection and subs imo.
The commentary on the coverage I was watching said Glasner stayed with a similar style to Roy due to the timing in the season. That and they were without Olise as well. Be interesting to see with a pre-season how much does change.
 

Gb160

Well done boys. Good process
Jun 20, 2012
23,678
93,457
Am loving the fact that we never appear to be beaten until the final whistle is blown. Tottenham teams of the past have been known for dropping their heads when we go behind and struggling to find a way back into games, how many points this year is it from losing positions now?

The flipside of this argument is - why do we keep making things so hard for ourselves and needing impact subs to come from behind every time? I know it's hard to dominate an entire game for 90 minutes but it's not unreasonable to ask us to be on top in both halves, especially against weaker sides at home, is it not?
We were on top in both halves...we absolutely dominated Palace.
Our problem lately seems to be an inability to capitalise on this dominance earlier in the game.
 

ohtottenham!

Well-Known Member
Aug 15, 2013
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We were on top in both halves...we absolutely dominated Palace.
Our problem lately seems to be an inability to capitalise on this dominance earlier in the game.
The pattern seems to be that although we dominate games, we play with more energy in the second half and create more openings and chances. Could be a number of reasons for that related to general tactics or game-specific where we have to come from behind etc.,
 

allatsea

Well-Known Member
Aug 31, 2012
8,951
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The pattern seems to be that although we dominate games, we play with more energy in the second half and create more openings and chances. Could be a number of reasons for that related to general tactics or game-specific where we have to come from behind etc.,
Palace worked very hard to close us down in the first half but appeared to tire in the second half.
 

Styopa

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Jan 19, 2014
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Palace worked very hard to close us down in the first half but appeared to tire in the second half.

Yeah I think this is often the way when we come up against teams at home who we are expected to dominate. They work really hard which it makes it very difficult for us in the first half, but generally they game opens up in the second half as they tire.

I think this has been a problem for years to be honest. Not just for us either: all of the top teams have similar issues to overcome. Not in every match, but it is a regular problem which the top teams encounter.

For example look at some of City’s recent results: Bt Everton 2-1 at home (scored in 71 and 85 min) Bt Brentford at home, 1-0 (scored in 71 min), Drew Chelsea at home 1-1 (equalised 83 min).
 
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